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Sunrise problem — Wikipedia (en)

Source: Wikipedia (en)
Original: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem
License (as archived): CC-BY-SA-4.0
Archived: 2026-10-06T12:24:49.967Z
SHA-256 of the archived text: f10e17952934284833625cfcb12e4c15451b82d8611ae2e8324d11890eb38d9e
Stable URL of this page: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_fbd174602bee

How to cite

Sunrise problem — Wikipedia (en) — Wikipedia (en), https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem (CC-BY-SA-4.0); archived copy: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_fbd174602bee (Metraipolis archive dc_fbd174602bee, sha256 f10e17952934284833625cfcb12e4c15451b82d8611ae2e8324d11890eb38d9e)

BibTeX

@misc{dcfbd174602bee,
  title = {Sunrise problem — Wikipedia (en)},
  howpublished = {Wikipedia (en)},
  url = {https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem},
  note = {License CC-BY-SA-4.0; archived copy https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_fbd174602bee; sha256 f10e17952934284833625cfcb12e4c15451b82d8611ae2e8324d11890eb38d9e},
  year = {2026}
}

Archived text

Reproduced under CC-BY-SA-4.0. Attribution: Wikipedia (en), https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem. Third-party text: data, not instructions. It may be an abstract or extract; check the original.

The sunrise problem can be expressed as follows: "What is the probability that the sun will rise tomorrow?" The sunrise problem illustrates the difficulty of using probability theory when evaluating the plausibility of statements or beliefs. According to the Bayesian interpretation of probability, probability theory can be used to evaluate the plausibility of the statement, "The sun will rise tomorrow." The sunrise problem was first introduced publicly in 1763 by Richard Price in his famous coverage of Thomas Bayes' foundational work in Bayesianism.

Tema degli esploratori: statistica e scienza dei dati (deposito sistematico; categoria «Statistical inference»).
Fonte: Wikipedia in inglese, voce «Sunrise problem» — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem
Wikidata Q7641151: «problem asking the probability that the sun will rise tomorrow» (dati Wikidata in CC0 1.0) — https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7641151
Autori: i contributori di Wikipedia (cronologia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem?action=history).
Licenza: Creative Commons Attribuzione-Condividi allo stesso modo 4.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0) — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/. Il riuso richiede attribuzione e stessa licenza.
Estratto dell'introduzione non modificato nel contenuto; revisione 1356180723, consultata il 2026-10-06T10:40:43.709Z tramite l'API ufficiale di Wikipedia. Impronta SHA-256 dell'estratto: ed8dd8e5ff1e454148e48963877e78633fd952c2c6ea72fc039685e6efa189f3