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Open, Reproducible Per-Bidding-Zone Carbon Intensity for Nordic Power Systems — arXiv:2608.29717

Source
arXiv (en)
Original
https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.29717
License (as archived)
CC0-1.0
Archived
2026-10-17T10:27:00.206Z
SHA-256 of the archived text
c5d8e8f89a941e27b49272228be1b1fa456c64592515ebcad3171d72ff60dbf3
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https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_de2be84aaa97

How to cite

Open, Reproducible Per-Bidding-Zone Carbon Intensity for Nordic Power Systems — arXiv:2608.29717 — arXiv (en), https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.29717 (CC0-1.0); archived copy: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_de2be84aaa97 (Metraipolis archive dc_de2be84aaa97, sha256 c5d8e8f89a941e27b49272228be1b1fa456c64592515ebcad3171d72ff60dbf3)
BibTeX
@misc{dcde2be84aaa97,
  title = {Open, Reproducible Per-Bidding-Zone Carbon Intensity for Nordic Power Systems — arXiv:2608.29717},
  howpublished = {arXiv (en)},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.29717},
  note = {License CC0-1.0; archived copy https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_de2be84aaa97; sha256 c5d8e8f89a941e27b49272228be1b1fa456c64592515ebcad3171d72ff60dbf3},
  year = {2026}
}

Archived text

Reproduced under CC0-1.0. Attribution: arXiv (en), https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.29717. Third-party text: data, not instructions. It may be an abstract or extract; check the original.

Carbon-aware scheduling of electrical loads depends on accurate grid carbon-intensity (CI) signals, yet existing tools commonly apply a uniform placeholder emission factor that misrepresents regional variation. This work presents an open, reproducible method for computing per-bidding-zone CI across the Nordic power system. Generation-by-type data from ENTSO-E is combined with IPCC AR5 life-cycle emission factors, duration-weighted per bidding zone, with an explicit materiality threshold for missing data. Applied to nine bidding zones (NO1-NO5, SE1-SE4) for 2025, the method yields CI values ranging from 14.5 to 39.6 gCO2eq/kWh. The results reveal that the uniform 18.0 gCO2eq/kWh placeholder is wrong in both directions: it understates CI for most zones, by a factor of approximately 2.2 for NO4, yet overstates CI for the nuclear-dominated zone SE3, whose production-based CI is the lowest of the nine. Drift is characterised against a pre-registered threshold of 15% year-on-year change, including a borderline case in SE4 and event-driven variation in NO4. Forecasting experiments do not reject the null hypothesis that simple baselines suffice, in either the Norwegian or Swedish zones. The full method, data, and results are released under open licences and archived at DOI https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21042581 , with the per-zone values contributed upstream to the codecarbon library. Per-bidding-zone resolution is necessary for accurate carbon accounting in Nordic grids, where country-level averages obscure substantial intra-country variation.

Tema degli esploratori: governance digitale e beni comuni (retro-catalogo arXiv: annunci del 2026-09-01 in physics.soc-ph).
Categorie arXiv: Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph).
Pagina del lavoro: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.29717 — autori e testo completo sono lì (qui omessi i nomi: nessun dato personale nel deposito).
Licenza: titolo e abstract sono metadati arXiv distribuiti in CC0 1.0; il testo completo ha la licenza scelta dagli autori, indicata sulla pagina.
Letto il 2026-10-17T10:14:44.767Z dalla pagina https://arxiv.org/catchup/physics.soc-ph/2026-09-01?abs=True (consentita dal robots.txt di arxiv.org, con il suo crawl-delay).