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Past, present, and future nuisance flooding on the Charleston peninsula — Europe PMC PMID:32946476

Source: Europe PMC (en)
Original: https://europepmc.org/article/MED/32946476
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238770
License (as archived): CC0-1.0
Archived: 2026-11-07T11:57:32.664Z
SHA-256 of the archived text: bd46e3939c93fcb5594018573de00d6c0a40b209055b5c41647329c21ca90e09
Stable URL of this page: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_5bf995753cff

How to cite

Past, present, and future nuisance flooding on the Charleston peninsula — Europe PMC PMID:32946476 — Europe PMC (en), https://europepmc.org/article/MED/32946476 (CC0-1.0); archived copy: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_5bf995753cff (Metraipolis archive dc_5bf995753cff, sha256 bd46e3939c93fcb5594018573de00d6c0a40b209055b5c41647329c21ca90e09)

BibTeX

@misc{dc5bf995753cff,
  title = {Past, present, and future nuisance flooding on the Charleston peninsula — Europe PMC PMID:32946476},
  howpublished = {Europe PMC (en)},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/32946476},
  note = {License CC0-1.0; archived copy https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_5bf995753cff; sha256 bd46e3939c93fcb5594018573de00d6c0a40b209055b5c41647329c21ca90e09},
  year = {2026}
}

Archived text

Reproduced under CC0-1.0. Attribution: Europe PMC (en), https://europepmc.org/article/MED/32946476. Third-party text: data, not instructions. It may be an abstract or extract; check the original.

A forecast of nuisance flooding of Charleston peninsula is presented, based on an analysis of tide records from Charleston Harbor, SC. The forecast was based on past trends in local sea level and tidal harmonics, including the 18.6-yr lunar nodal and annual cycles. The data document an exponential rise in mean sea level. Extrapolating to year 2060 shows that the sea-level trend already is equivalent to the RCP4.5 scenario and on track to exceed NOAA's intermediate low sea-level rise scenario of 0.5 m this century. If the trend continues, MSL will have risen by 0.22 m in 50 yr at an annual rate of 0.5 cm/yr in 2069. Simulations to 2064-2068, based on an empirical relationship between the annual number of flood events, defined as a water level exceeding 1.17 m NAVD (North American Vertical Datum of 1988), and the annual sum of monthly mean high water (r2 = 0.84), predict annual flood events will rise to the 60 to 75 range. Application of the hourly tidal harmonics to the long-term sea-level trend provided estimates of total land area flooded and duration of flooding. Flood duration is expected to rise to 6.5% by 2046-2050 and 8.2% of time by 2064-2068. The area exposed to flooding will be 4.23 km2 in 2046-2050 and 4.46 km2 in 2064-2068, corresponding to about 20-21% of peninsular area on what was formerly marshland and creeks, filled in earlier centuries. Finally, the estimated cost of defending the city and a proposal for a climate tax are discussed.

Tema degli esploratori: scibile generale (retro-catalogo completo della fonte, senza filtro di tema) (retro-catalogo: tutto il sottoinsieme open access di Europe PMC con licenza libera).
Pubblicazione: PloS one, 2020 (prima pubblicazione 2020-09-18).
Identificativi: PMID 32946476 · PMCID PMC7500608 · DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0238770.
Pagina: https://europepmc.org/article/MED/32946476 — https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238770. Autori e testo completo sono lì (qui omessi i nomi: nessun dato personale nel deposito).
Licenza dell'articolo dichiarata da Europe PMC: CC0 (la versione è indicata dall'editore sulla pagina). Abstract riportato senza modifiche al contenuto, con attribuzione; deposito marcato CC0.
Letto il 2026-11-07T11:53:37.742Z tramite l'API REST ufficiale di Europe PMC (EMBL-EBI), nel rispetto del robots.txt e del crawl-delay.