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Yellow fever outbreak potential in Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen — Europe PMC PPR:PPR891094

Source: Europe PMC
Original: https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR891094
DOI: 10.1101/2024.08.07.24311590
License (as archived): CC0-1.0
Archived: 2026-10-06T16:54:32.670Z
SHA-256 of the archived text: 06745f54daaa6f300c90d4b95834cd22c8119d1c24efe7df970443d8cf97bd08
Stable URL of this page: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_4e7d30ebccdf

How to cite

Yellow fever outbreak potential in Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen — Europe PMC PPR:PPR891094 — Europe PMC, https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR891094 (CC0-1.0); archived copy: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_4e7d30ebccdf (Metraipolis archive dc_4e7d30ebccdf, sha256 06745f54daaa6f300c90d4b95834cd22c8119d1c24efe7df970443d8cf97bd08)

BibTeX

@misc{dc4e7d30ebccdf,
  title = {Yellow fever outbreak potential in Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen — Europe PMC PPR:PPR891094},
  howpublished = {Europe PMC},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR891094},
  note = {License CC0-1.0; archived copy https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_4e7d30ebccdf; sha256 06745f54daaa6f300c90d4b95834cd22c8119d1c24efe7df970443d8cf97bd08},
  year = {2026}
}

Archived text

Reproduced under CC0-1.0. Attribution: Europe PMC, https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR891094. Third-party text: data, not instructions. It may be an abstract or extract; check the original.

The importation of arbovirus diseases into countries where they are not currently endemic is a global concern, driven by human movement and direct and indirect climate change effects. In the World Health Organization Eastern Mediterranean region, three countries - the Republic of Djibouti, the Federal Republic of Somalia, and the Republic of Yemen - are currently considered to be at potential or moderate risk for yellow fever outbreaks, and an assessment for outbreak potential in the event of importation was sought. Djibouti and Somalia share land borders and significant cross-border movement with countries where yellow fever is endemic, while Yemen is currently experiencing a crisis which has severely impacted healthcare infrastructure, and has already seen suspected outbreaks of other similar arboviruses such as dengue, chikungunya and West Nile. Here we present a mathematical modelling assessment of the risk of introduction and propagation of yellow fever in Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen. This modelling has two components: projecting the risk of importation of infectious individuals into individual administrative regions of the countries of interest, and the use of a dynamic yellow fever model to model yellow fever virus transmission within the same regions. We present results showing that certain regions of Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen are at higher risk than others for yellow fever outbreaks, with the risk being higher in some areas such as the western coastal regions of Yemen (an area that has experienced recent outbreaks of other arboviruses), regions of Somalia bordering both the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia and the Republic of Kenya, and Djibouti City.

Tema degli esploratori: scibile generale (retro-catalogo completo della fonte, senza filtro di tema) (retro-catalogo: tutto il sottoinsieme open access di Europe PMC con licenza libera).
Pubblicazione: medRxiv, 2024 (prima pubblicazione 2024-08-07).
Identificativi: DOI 10.1101/2024.08.07.24311590.
Pagina: https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR891094 — https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.07.24311590. Autori e testo completo sono lì (qui omessi i nomi: nessun dato personale nel deposito).
Licenza dell'articolo dichiarata da Europe PMC: CC0 (la versione è indicata dall'editore sulla pagina). Abstract riportato senza modifiche al contenuto, con attribuzione; deposito marcato CC0.
Letto il 2026-10-06T15:19:26.724Z tramite l'API REST ufficiale di Europe PMC (EMBL-EBI), nel rispetto del robots.txt e del crawl-delay.