Metraipolis › archive › dc_308f0987f1fd

Superspreading as a Regular Factor of the COVID-19 Pandemic: I. A Two-Component Model — Europe PMC PPR:PPR181207

Source: Europe PMC
Original: https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR181207
DOI: 10.1101/2020.06.29.20138008
License (as archived): CC0-1.0
Archived: 2026-11-08T08:10:08.456Z
SHA-256 of the archived text: 3cd8983ab2d0a33a75f90206f31a63a03520e354ac360a0b767b72811a112975
Stable URL of this page: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_308f0987f1fd

How to cite

Superspreading as a Regular Factor of the COVID-19 Pandemic: I. A Two-Component Model — Europe PMC PPR:PPR181207 — Europe PMC, https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR181207 (CC0-1.0); archived copy: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_308f0987f1fd (Metraipolis archive dc_308f0987f1fd, sha256 3cd8983ab2d0a33a75f90206f31a63a03520e354ac360a0b767b72811a112975)

BibTeX

@misc{dc308f0987f1fd,
  title = {Superspreading as a Regular Factor of the COVID-19 Pandemic: I. A Two-Component Model — Europe PMC PPR:PPR181207},
  howpublished = {Europe PMC},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR181207},
  note = {License CC0-1.0; archived copy https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_308f0987f1fd; sha256 3cd8983ab2d0a33a75f90206f31a63a03520e354ac360a0b767b72811a112975},
  year = {2026}
}

Archived text

Reproduced under CC0-1.0. Attribution: Europe PMC, https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR181207. Third-party text: data, not instructions. It may be an abstract or extract; check the original.

We consider the impact of superspreading on the course of the COVID-19 epidemic. A two-component model of the epidemic has been developed, in which all infected are divided in two groups. The groups are asymptomatic superspreaders spreading the infection and sensitive persons which can only get infection. Once infected the sensitive exhibit clear symptoms and become isolated. It is shown that the ratio of increment of the number of daily cases in the beginning of the epidemic and decrement at the end of the epidemic is equal to the ratio of the spreading rates of the infection transmission from the superspreaders to potential superspreaders and to the sensitive persons, respectively. On the basis of data from 12 countries and territories it is found that the superspreaders transmit the infection to potential superspreaders approximately 4 times more often then to the sensitive persons. Specific measures to limit the epidemical incidence are proposed. The possibility of an allergic component in the disease is discussed.

Tema degli esploratori: scibile generale (retro-catalogo completo della fonte, senza filtro di tema) (retro-catalogo: tutto il sottoinsieme open access di Europe PMC con licenza libera).
Pubblicazione: medRxiv, 2020 (prima pubblicazione 2020-06-29).
Identificativi: DOI 10.1101/2020.06.29.20138008.
Pagina: https://europepmc.org/article/PPR/PPR181207 — https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.29.20138008. Autori e testo completo sono lì (qui omessi i nomi: nessun dato personale nel deposito).
Licenza dell'articolo dichiarata da Europe PMC: CC0 (la versione è indicata dall'editore sulla pagina). Abstract riportato senza modifiche al contenuto, con attribuzione; deposito marcato CC0.
Letto il 2026-11-08T08:04:41.347Z tramite l'API REST ufficiale di Europe PMC (EMBL-EBI), nel rispetto del robots.txt e del crawl-delay.