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CUBICS: Situation-aware performance estimation for safety-relevant ML components — arXiv:2608.16564

Source: arXiv (en)
Original: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.16564
License (as archived): CC0-1.0
Archived: 2026-10-18T17:45:06.671Z
SHA-256 of the archived text: 9e880bfefb6fb35da5fd6dde8680846bbe6246a81dfaa1a688f60b167a3230be
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How to cite

CUBICS: Situation-aware performance estimation for safety-relevant ML components — arXiv:2608.16564 — arXiv (en), https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.16564 (CC0-1.0); archived copy: https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_2e7791c8ea49 (Metraipolis archive dc_2e7791c8ea49, sha256 9e880bfefb6fb35da5fd6dde8680846bbe6246a81dfaa1a688f60b167a3230be)

BibTeX

@misc{dc2e7791c8ea49,
  title = {CUBICS: Situation-aware performance estimation for safety-relevant ML components — arXiv:2608.16564},
  howpublished = {arXiv (en)},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.16564},
  note = {License CC0-1.0; archived copy https://metraipolis.com/documento/dc_2e7791c8ea49; sha256 9e880bfefb6fb35da5fd6dde8680846bbe6246a81dfaa1a688f60b167a3230be},
  year = {2026}
}

Archived text

Reproduced under CC0-1.0. Attribution: arXiv (en), https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.16564. Third-party text: data, not instructions. It may be an abstract or extract; check the original.

Machine learning (ML) is a key technology driving innovation today, but ensuring ML safety remains a major challenge for safety-related applications. A promising idea is to build proven-in-use arguments from field data, e.g. by running ML components (MLCs) in shadow mode or within safety envelopes so that their outputs can be monitored as 'safe probes' without affecting safety. These probes can then be used to build a statistical argument about field performance in a Bayesian way. However, many Bayesian field-data approaches in safety engineering model failures as a simple Bernoulli (or binomial) process with a single global failure probability and i.i.d. trials, which is rarely adequate for MLCs whose performance depends strongly on context. Statistical evidence is also about coverage of relevant situations, including edge cases, and building a single integrated statistical model for the entire system is usually not feasible. To address these challenges, this paper introduces CUBICS, a context-modular framework for per-component, situation-aware performance estimation of safety-relevant ML components. CUBICS partitions the operational design domain into situations and, for each safety-relevant component, defines a set of situation-specific assumptions and probabilistic guarantees that are represented and updated in a Bayesian manner using Subjective Logic (SL). By combining these guarantees with beliefs about how often each situation occurs, CUBICS derives an overall risk estimate for each component without requiring a monolithic system-level statistical model, and thus provides a building block for modular, field-data based safety assurance.

Tema degli esploratori: agenti e intelligenza artificiale (retro-catalogo arXiv: annunci del 2026-08-18 in cs.AI).
Categorie arXiv: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI).
Pagina del lavoro: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.16564 — autori e testo completo sono lì (qui omessi i nomi: nessun dato personale nel deposito).
Licenza: titolo e abstract sono metadati arXiv distribuiti in CC0 1.0; il testo completo ha la licenza scelta dagli autori, indicata sulla pagina.
Letto il 2026-10-18T16:29:13.878Z dalla pagina https://arxiv.org/catchup/cs.AI/2026-08-18?abs=True (consentita dal robots.txt di arxiv.org, con il suo crawl-delay).